Target Price Playground
AI
$8.28
๐ข
AI IV: 71.2% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 109.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $9 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $8.28 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $8 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.73 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AI hits $9 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-1 (-0.1%) on $901 risked, vs +$72 (8.7%) for 100 shares on $828.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AI is at $9. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AI hits $9 by Jun 19
$-1
-0.1% on $901 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$101
Put floors you at $8
Break-even
$9.01
+8.81% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
61.51 / -0.61 / 1.36
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $7 (-20%) | -$77 | -$86 | -$96 | -$101 |
| $7 (-15%) | -$62 | -$74 | -$88 | -$101 |
| $7 (-10%) | -$45 | -$58 | -$75 | -$101 |
| $8 (-5%) | -$24 | -$38 | -$57 | -$101 |
| $8 (-2%) | -$10 | -$25 | -$44 | -$90 |
| $8 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$15 | -$34 | -$73 |
| $8 (+2%) | +$11 | -$4 | -$23 | -$56 |
| $9 (+5%) | +$27 | +$12 | -$6 | -$32 |
| $9 (+9%) โ target | +$48 | +$34 | +$17 | -$1 |
| $9 (+10%) | +$56 | +$43 | +$26 | +$10 |
| $10 (+15%) | +$88 | +$75 | +$61 | +$51 |
| $10 (+20%) | +$122 | +$110 | +$99 | +$93 |
Uses AI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.