Target Price Playground
AI
$8.28
๐ข
AI IV: 71.2% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 109.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $10 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $9 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.85 ยท ฮ 0.53
LONG PUT ยท $9 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.0 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AI hits $10 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-84 (-45.7%) on $184 risked, vs +$122 (14.7%) for 100 shares on $828. Options give 3.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AI is at $10. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AI hits $10 by Jun 19
$-84
-45.7% on $184 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$184
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$6.66
-19.59% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
5.85 / -1.34 / 2.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $7 (-20%) | +$39 | +$22 | +$7 | +$3 |
| $7 (-15%) | +$20 | -$2 | -$26 | -$39 |
| $7 (-10%) | +$7 | -$20 | -$51 | -$80 |
| $8 (-5%) | -$0 | -$30 | -$69 | -$122 |
| $8 (-2%) | -$1 | -$33 | -$74 | -$146 |
| $8 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$33 | -$76 | -$163 |
| $8 (+2%) | +$1 | -$32 | -$76 | -$180 |
| $9 (+5%) | +$4 | -$29 | -$73 | -$166 |
| $9 (+10%) | +$15 | -$18 | -$60 | -$124 |
| $10 (+15%) โ target | +$30 | -$2 | -$41 | -$85 |
| $10 (+20%) | +$52 | +$21 | -$13 | -$41 |
Uses AI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.