Target Price Playground
ALAB
$149.05
๐ข
ALAB IV: 82.3% โ LOW
(-18.6% vs 30d avg of 101.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $165 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $150 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.2 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $160 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.75 ยท ฮ 0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALAB hits $165 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$455 (83.5%) on $545 risked, vs +$1,595 (10.7%) for 100 shares on $14,905. Options give 7.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALAB is at $165. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALAB hits $165 by Jun 19
+$455
+83.5% on $545 risked
Max Profit
+$455
If the stock โฅ $160 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$545
Net debit
Break-even
$155.45
+4.29% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
6.86 / -0.46 / -0.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALAB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $119 (-20%) | -$359 | -$392 | -$455 | -$545 |
| $127 (-15%) | -$311 | -$338 | -$398 | -$545 |
| $134 (-10%) | -$259 | -$278 | -$327 | -$545 |
| $142 (-5%) | -$206 | -$215 | -$244 | -$545 |
| $146 (-2%) | -$174 | -$176 | -$191 | -$545 |
| $149 (0%) โ spot | -$152 | -$150 | -$155 | -$545 |
| $152 (+2%) | -$131 | -$124 | -$118 | -$342 |
| $157 (+5%) | -$100 | -$85 | -$64 | +$105 |
| $165 (+11%) โ target | -$41 | -$14 | +$35 | +$455 |
| $171 (+15%) | +$1 | +$37 | +$104 | +$455 |
| $179 (+20%) | +$47 | +$92 | +$176 | +$455 |
Uses ALAB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.