Target Price Playground
ALAB
$149.05
๐ข
ALAB IV: 82.3% โ LOW
(-18.6% vs 30d avg of 101.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $130 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $150 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $22.9 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $135 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.3 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALAB hits $130 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$740 (97.4%) on $760 risked, vs $-1,905 (-12.8%) for 100 shares on $14,905. Options give 7.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALAB is at $130. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALAB hits $130 by Jun 19
+$740
+97.4% on $760 risked
Max Profit
+$740
If the stock โค $135 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$760
Net debit
Break-even
$142.40
-4.46% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-10.43 / -1.38 / 1.43
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALAB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $119 (-20%) | +$344 | +$385 | +$472 | +$740 |
| $127 (-15%) | +$259 | +$284 | +$347 | +$740 |
| $130 (-13%) โ target | +$220 | +$238 | +$286 | +$740 |
| $134 (-10%) | +$172 | +$179 | +$206 | +$740 |
| $142 (-5%) | +$85 | +$73 | +$58 | +$80 |
| $146 (-2%) | +$34 | +$10 | -$29 | -$367 |
| $149 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | -$30 | -$86 | -$665 |
| $152 (+2%) | -$32 | -$70 | -$141 | -$760 |
| $157 (+5%) | -$80 | -$128 | -$219 | -$760 |
| $164 (+10%) | -$155 | -$219 | -$337 | -$760 |
| $171 (+15%) | -$226 | -$301 | -$436 | -$760 |
| $179 (+20%) | -$290 | -$373 | -$517 | -$760 |
Uses ALAB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.