Target Price Playground
ALAB
$149.05
๐ข
ALAB IV: 82.3% โ LOW
(-18.6% vs 30d avg of 101.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $150 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $26.16 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.31 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALAB hits $140 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,005 (113.5%) on $885 risked, vs $-905 (-6.1%) for 100 shares on $14,905. Options give 18.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALAB is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALAB hits $140 by Jun 19
+$1,005
+113.5% on $885 risked
Max Profit
+$999
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$607
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$163.27
+9.54% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
87%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-5.77 / 2.22 / 5.57
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALAB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $119 (-20%) | +$131 | +$191 | +$284 | +$330 |
| $127 (-15%) | +$112 | +$179 | +$294 | +$504 |
| $134 (-10%) | +$84 | +$153 | +$279 | +$741 |
| $140 (-6%) โ target | +$58 | +$124 | +$249 | +$974 |
| $142 (-5%) | +$50 | +$115 | +$238 | +$885 |
| $146 (-2%) | +$26 | +$87 | +$202 | +$652 |
| $149 (0%) โ spot | +$10 | +$66 | +$173 | +$510 |
| $152 (+2%) | -$8 | +$45 | +$142 | +$379 |
| $157 (+5%) | -$36 | +$10 | +$91 | +$200 |
| $164 (+10%) | -$84 | -$52 | -$3 | -$53 |
| $171 (+15%) | -$135 | -$118 | -$102 | -$255 |
| $179 (+20%) | -$186 | -$184 | -$201 | -$413 |
Uses ALAB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.