Target Price Playground
ALAB
$149.05
๐ข
ALAB IV: 82.3% โ LOW
(-18.6% vs 30d avg of 101.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $165 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $150 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.2 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALAB hits $165 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-820 (-35.3%) on $2,320 risked, vs +$1,595 (10.7%) for 100 shares on $14,905. Options give 3.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALAB is at $165. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALAB hits $165 by Jun 19
$-820
-35.3% on $2,320 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,320
Premium paid
Break-even
$173.20
+16.2% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.37 / -17.4 / 25.28
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALAB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $119 (-20%) | -$1,547 | -$1,823 | -$2,122 | -$2,320 |
| $127 (-15%) | -$1,278 | -$1,596 | -$1,970 | -$2,320 |
| $134 (-10%) | -$961 | -$1,314 | -$1,752 | -$2,320 |
| $142 (-5%) | -$598 | -$978 | -$1,463 | -$2,320 |
| $146 (-2%) | -$360 | -$751 | -$1,254 | -$2,320 |
| $149 (0%) โ spot | -$192 | -$589 | -$1,100 | -$2,320 |
| $152 (+2%) | -$18 | -$419 | -$935 | -$2,117 |
| $157 (+5%) | +$254 | -$149 | -$667 | -$1,670 |
| $165 (+11%) โ target | +$810 | +$408 | -$96 | -$820 |
| $171 (+15%) | +$1,258 | +$864 | +$383 | -$179 |
| $179 (+20%) | +$1,807 | +$1,427 | +$982 | +$566 |
Uses ALAB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.