Target Price Playground
ALAB
$149.05
๐ข
ALAB IV: 82.3% โ LOW
(-18.6% vs 30d avg of 101.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $165 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $149.05 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.31 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALAB hits $165 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-136 (-0.8%) on $16,636 risked, vs +$1,595 (10.7%) for 100 shares on $14,905. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALAB is at $165. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALAB hits $165 by Jun 19
$-136
-0.8% on $16,636 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$2,636
Put floors you at $140
Break-even
$166.36
+11.61% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.12 / -14.99 / 24.36
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALAB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $119 (-20%) | -$1,739 | -$2,003 | -$2,324 | -$2,636 |
| $127 (-15%) | -$1,414 | -$1,712 | -$2,094 | -$2,636 |
| $134 (-10%) | -$1,040 | -$1,362 | -$1,786 | -$2,636 |
| $142 (-5%) | -$621 | -$956 | -$1,400 | -$2,476 |
| $146 (-2%) | -$348 | -$687 | -$1,133 | -$2,029 |
| $149 (0%) โ spot | -$159 | -$498 | -$941 | -$1,731 |
| $152 (+2%) | +$37 | -$301 | -$739 | -$1,433 |
| $157 (+5%) | +$342 | +$7 | -$417 | -$986 |
| $165 (+11%) โ target | +$955 | +$634 | +$247 | -$136 |
| $171 (+15%) | +$1,444 | +$1,138 | +$785 | +$505 |
| $179 (+20%) | +$2,037 | +$1,751 | +$1,442 | +$1,250 |
Uses ALAB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.