Target Price Playground
ALAB
$149.05
๐ข
ALAB IV: 82.3% โ LOW
(-18.6% vs 30d avg of 101.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $170 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $150 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.2 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $150 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $22.9 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALAB hits $170 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-2,610 (-56.6%) on $4,610 risked, vs +$2,095 (14.1%) for 100 shares on $14,905. Options give 4.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALAB is at $170. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALAB hits $170 by Jun 19
$-2,610
-56.6% on $4,610 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$4,610
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$103.90
-30.29% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.5 / -33.38 / 50.59
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALAB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $119 (-20%) | -$112 | -$622 | -$1,180 | -$1,534 |
| $127 (-15%) | -$318 | -$914 | -$1,621 | -$2,279 |
| $134 (-10%) | -$430 | -$1,097 | -$1,932 | -$3,025 |
| $142 (-5%) | -$450 | -$1,169 | -$2,098 | -$3,770 |
| $146 (-2%) | -$420 | -$1,161 | -$2,127 | -$4,217 |
| $149 (0%) โ spot | -$383 | -$1,135 | -$2,118 | -$4,515 |
| $152 (+2%) | -$333 | -$1,093 | -$2,086 | -$4,407 |
| $157 (+5%) | -$235 | -$1,001 | -$1,997 | -$3,960 |
| $164 (+10%) | -$10 | -$775 | -$1,748 | -$3,214 |
| $170 (+14%) โ target | +$221 | -$531 | -$1,463 | -$2,610 |
| $179 (+20%) | +$635 | -$85 | -$935 | -$1,724 |
Uses ALAB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.