Target Price Playground
ALAB
$149.05
๐ข
ALAB IV: 82.3% โ LOW
(-18.6% vs 30d avg of 101.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $160 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $149.05 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $160 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.75 ยท ฮ 0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALAB hits $160 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$2,870 (21.9%) on $13,130 risked, vs +$1,095 (7.3%) for 100 shares on $14,905. Options give 3.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALAB is at $160. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALAB hits $160 by Jun 19
+$2,870
+21.9% on $13,130 risked
Max Profit
+$2,870
If the stock โฅ $160 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$13,130
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$131.30
-11.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
48.49 / 16.94 / -26.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALAB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $119 (-20%) | -$1,793 | -$1,550 | -$1,314 | -$1,206 |
| $127 (-15%) | -$1,269 | -$978 | -$665 | -$461 |
| $134 (-10%) | -$788 | -$454 | -$65 | +$285 |
| $142 (-5%) | -$353 | +$18 | +$474 | +$1,030 |
| $146 (-2%) | -$112 | +$277 | +$765 | +$1,477 |
| $149 (0%) โ spot | +$40 | +$439 | +$945 | +$1,775 |
| $152 (+2%) | +$185 | +$593 | +$1,115 | +$2,073 |
| $157 (+5%) | +$391 | +$809 | +$1,348 | +$2,520 |
| $160 (+7%) โ target | +$542 | +$966 | +$1,514 | +$2,870 |
| $164 (+10%) | +$703 | +$1,132 | +$1,684 | +$2,870 |
| $171 (+15%) | +$979 | +$1,409 | +$1,957 | +$2,870 |
| $179 (+20%) | +$1,221 | +$1,646 | +$2,175 | +$2,870 |
Uses ALAB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.