Target Price Playground
ALKT
$16.13
Forward Projection
If price hits $16 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $16 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.82 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $16 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.48 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALKT hits $16 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$43 (127.4%) on $34 risked, vs $-63 (-3.9%) for 100 shares on $1,613. Options give 32.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALKT is at $16. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALKT hits $16 by Jun 19
+$43
+127.4% on $34 risked
Max Profit
+$42
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$34
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$16.40
+1.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.79 / 0.07 / 0.71
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALKT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | +$12 | +$13 | +$12 | +$11 |
| $14 (-15%) | +$12 | +$14 | +$15 | +$12 |
| $15 (-10%) | +$11 | +$13 | +$18 | +$19 |
| $15 (-5%) | +$6 | +$10 | +$15 | +$37 |
| $16 (-4%) โ target | +$5 | +$8 | +$14 | +$43 |
| $16 (-2%) | +$3 | +$5 | +$10 | +$26 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$2 | +$6 | +$10 |
| $16 (+2%) | -$3 | -$2 | +$0 | -$2 |
| $17 (+5%) | -$7 | -$7 | -$8 | -$15 |
| $18 (+10%) | -$15 | -$16 | -$19 | -$27 |
| $19 (+15%) | -$21 | -$23 | -$27 | -$32 |
| $19 (+20%) | -$26 | -$28 | -$31 | -$34 |
Uses ALKT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.