Target Price Playground
ALKT
$16.13
Forward Projection
If price hits $18 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $16 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.96 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALKT hits $18 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$104 (108.9%) on $96 risked, vs +$187 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $1,613. Options give 9.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALKT is at $18. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALKT hits $18 by Jun 19
+$104
+108.9% on $96 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$96
Premium paid
Break-even
$16.96
+5.13% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.59 / -0.71 / 2.71
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALKT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | -$92 | -$95 | -$96 | -$96 |
| $14 (-15%) | -$84 | -$90 | -$95 | -$96 |
| $15 (-10%) | -$68 | -$79 | -$90 | -$96 |
| $15 (-5%) | -$41 | -$56 | -$74 | -$96 |
| $16 (-2%) | -$18 | -$34 | -$55 | -$96 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$17 | -$39 | -$83 |
| $16 (+2%) | +$19 | +$2 | -$19 | -$51 |
| $17 (+5%) | +$52 | +$36 | +$18 | -$2 |
| $18 (+10%) | +$114 | +$101 | +$87 | +$78 |
| $18 (+12%) โ target | +$136 | +$123 | +$111 | +$104 |
| $19 (+15%) | +$184 | +$174 | +$165 | +$159 |
| $19 (+20%) | +$259 | +$251 | +$245 | +$240 |
Uses ALKT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.