Target Price Playground
ALKT
$16.13
Forward Projection
If price hits $14 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $16 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.7 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALKT hits $14 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$130 (187.5%) on $70 risked, vs $-213 (-13.2%) for 100 shares on $1,613. Options give 14.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALKT is at $14. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALKT hits $14 by Jun 19
+$130
+187.5% on $70 risked
Max Profit
+$1,530
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$70
Premium paid
Break-even
$15.30
-5.12% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
30%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.41 / -0.51 / 2.71
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALKT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | +$231 | +$232 | +$236 | +$240 |
| $14 (-15%) | +$158 | +$156 | +$155 | +$159 |
| $14 (-13%) โ target | +$134 | +$130 | +$127 | +$130 |
| $15 (-10%) | +$93 | +$86 | +$79 | +$78 |
| $15 (-5%) | +$40 | +$29 | +$15 | -$2 |
| $16 (-2%) | +$14 | +$2 | -$15 | -$51 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$13 | -$30 | -$70 |
| $16 (+2%) | -$13 | -$26 | -$42 | -$70 |
| $17 (+5%) | -$29 | -$41 | -$55 | -$70 |
| $18 (+10%) | -$47 | -$56 | -$65 | -$70 |
| $19 (+15%) | -$58 | -$64 | -$69 | -$70 |
| $19 (+20%) | -$64 | -$68 | -$70 | -$70 |
Uses ALKT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.