Target Price Playground
ALKT
$16.13
Forward Projection
If price hits $18 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $16.13 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALKT hits $18 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$187 (11.6%) on $1,613 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALKT hits $18 by Jun 19
+$187
+11.6% on $1,613 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,613
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$16.13
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALKT Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | -$323 | -$323 | -$323 |
| $14 (-15%) | -$242 | -$242 | -$242 |
| $15 (-10%) | -$161 | -$161 | -$161 |
| $15 (-5%) | -$81 | -$81 | -$81 |
| $16 (-2%) | -$32 | -$32 | -$32 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $16 (+2%) | +$32 | +$32 | +$32 |
| $17 (+5%) | +$81 | +$81 | +$81 |
| $18 (+10%) | +$161 | +$161 | +$161 |
| $18 (+12%) โ target | +$187 | +$187 | +$187 |
| $19 (+15%) | +$242 | +$242 | +$242 |
| $19 (+20%) | +$323 | +$323 | +$323 |
Uses ALKT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.