Target Price Playground
ALKT
$16.13
Forward Projection
If price hits $18 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $16.13 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $16 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.48 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALKT hits $18 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$89 (5.3%) on $1,661 risked, vs +$137 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $1,613. Options give 0.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALKT is at $18. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALKT hits $18 by Jun 19
+$89
+5.3% on $1,661 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$111
Put floors you at $16
Break-even
$16.61
+3.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
51%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
66.95 / -0.49 / 2.5
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALKT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | -$117 | -$117 | -$115 | -$111 |
| $14 (-15%) | -$105 | -$109 | -$113 | -$111 |
| $15 (-10%) | -$82 | -$92 | -$103 | -$111 |
| $15 (-5%) | -$48 | -$60 | -$76 | -$111 |
| $16 (-2%) | -$20 | -$32 | -$49 | -$80 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$11 | -$27 | -$48 |
| $16 (+2%) | +$23 | +$11 | -$2 | -$16 |
| $17 (+5%) | +$60 | +$50 | +$40 | +$33 |
| $18 (+8%) โ target | +$106 | +$99 | +$92 | +$89 |
| $18 (+10%) | +$127 | +$120 | +$115 | +$113 |
| $19 (+15%) | +$201 | +$197 | +$194 | +$194 |
| $19 (+20%) | +$278 | +$276 | +$275 | +$275 |
Uses ALKT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.