Target Price Playground
ALKT
$16.13
Forward Projection
If price hits $19 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $16 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.96 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $16 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.7 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALKT hits $19 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$85 (51.2%) on $165 risked, vs +$237 (14.7%) for 100 shares on $1,613. Options give 3.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALKT is at $19. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALKT hits $19 by Jun 19
+$85
+51.2% on $165 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$165
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$17.65
+9.44% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
25%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
15.19 / -1.22 / 5.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALKT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | +$139 | +$138 | +$140 | +$144 |
| $14 (-15%) | +$74 | +$65 | +$60 | +$63 |
| $15 (-10%) | +$25 | +$7 | -$11 | -$18 |
| $15 (-5%) | -$0 | -$26 | -$59 | -$98 |
| $16 (-2%) | -$4 | -$33 | -$70 | -$147 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$30 | -$69 | -$153 |
| $16 (+2%) | +$6 | -$23 | -$61 | -$121 |
| $17 (+5%) | +$23 | -$4 | -$37 | -$72 |
| $18 (+10%) | +$67 | +$45 | +$22 | +$8 |
| $19 (+15%) โ target | +$122 | +$105 | +$91 | +$84 |
| $19 (+20%) | +$195 | +$183 | +$175 | +$170 |
Uses ALKT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.