Target Price Playground
ALKT
$16.13
Forward Projection
If price hits $18 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $16.13 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.0 ยท ฮ 0.77
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ALKT hits $18 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$637 (57.2%) on $1,113 risked, vs +$137 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $1,613. Options give 6.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ALKT is at $18. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ALKT hits $18 by Jun 19
+$637
+57.2% on $1,113 risked
Max Profit
+$637
If the stock โฅ $18 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,113
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$
None% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
51%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
23.38 / 0.7 / -4.59
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ALKT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | +$176 | +$177 | +$177 | +$177 |
| $14 (-15%) | +$255 | +$257 | +$258 | +$258 |
| $15 (-10%) | +$331 | +$336 | +$339 | +$339 |
| $15 (-5%) | +$401 | +$410 | +$417 | +$419 |
| $16 (-2%) | +$439 | +$451 | +$462 | +$468 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | +$462 | +$476 | +$490 | +$500 |
| $16 (+2%) | +$483 | +$499 | +$516 | +$532 |
| $17 (+5%) | +$512 | +$530 | +$551 | +$581 |
| $18 (+8%) โ target | +$540 | +$559 | +$582 | +$637 |
| $18 (+10%) | +$551 | +$569 | +$592 | +$637 |
| $19 (+15%) | +$578 | +$596 | +$616 | +$637 |
| $19 (+20%) | +$597 | +$612 | +$627 | +$637 |
Uses ALKT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.