Target Price Playground
ANET
$147.35
๐ข
ANET IV: 53.5% โ LOW
(-26.9% vs 30d avg of 73.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $165 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $145 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.45 ยท ฮ 0.59
SHORT CALL ยท $160 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.05 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ANET hits $165 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$760 (102.7%) on $740 risked, vs +$1,765 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $14,735. Options give 8.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ANET is at $165. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ANET hits $165 by Jun 19
+$760
+102.7% on $740 risked
Max Profit
+$760
If the stock โฅ $160 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$740
Net debit
Break-even
$152.40
+3.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.45 / -0.63 / -1.54
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ANET Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $118 (-20%) | -$560 | -$617 | -$695 | -$740 |
| $125 (-15%) | -$471 | -$530 | -$629 | -$740 |
| $133 (-10%) | -$366 | -$416 | -$516 | -$740 |
| $140 (-5%) | -$250 | -$282 | -$356 | -$740 |
| $144 (-2%) | -$178 | -$196 | -$243 | -$740 |
| $147 (0%) โ spot | -$129 | -$136 | -$162 | -$505 |
| $150 (+2%) | -$80 | -$77 | -$80 | -$210 |
| $155 (+5%) | -$7 | +$12 | +$43 | +$232 |
| $162 (+10%) | +$109 | +$152 | +$235 | +$760 |
| $165 (+12%) โ target | +$152 | +$205 | +$303 | +$760 |
| $169 (+15%) | +$216 | +$279 | +$397 | +$760 |
| $177 (+20%) | +$312 | +$389 | +$522 | +$760 |
Uses ANET's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.