Target Price Playground
ANET
$147.35
๐ข
ANET IV: 53.5% โ LOW
(-26.9% vs 30d avg of 73.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $145 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.55 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.5 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ANET hits $140 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$708 (174.8%) on $405 risked, vs $-735 (-5.0%) for 100 shares on $14,735. Options give 35.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ANET is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ANET hits $140 by Jun 19
+$708
+174.8% on $405 risked
Max Profit
+$691
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$372
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$157.87
+7.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
83%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-4.93 / 1.97 / 5.24
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ANET Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $118 (-20%) | +$129 | +$156 | +$181 | +$127 |
| $125 (-15%) | +$129 | +$168 | +$224 | +$235 |
| $133 (-10%) | +$118 | +$163 | +$241 | +$419 |
| $140 (-5%) โ target | +$95 | +$140 | +$223 | +$699 |
| $144 (-2%) | +$76 | +$118 | +$194 | +$474 |
| $147 (0%) โ spot | +$62 | +$100 | +$169 | +$343 |
| $150 (+2%) | +$47 | +$80 | +$139 | +$227 |
| $155 (+5%) | +$22 | +$48 | +$89 | +$79 |
| $162 (+10%) | -$22 | -$10 | -$2 | -$104 |
| $169 (+15%) | -$69 | -$71 | -$92 | -$225 |
| $177 (+20%) | -$114 | -$129 | -$171 | -$302 |
Uses ANET's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.