Target Price Playground
ANET
$147.35
๐ข
ANET IV: 52.6% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 73.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $165 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $145 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.45 ยท ฮ 0.59
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ANET hits $165 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$255 (14.6%) on $1,745 risked, vs +$1,765 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $14,735. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ANET is at $165. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ANET hits $165 by Jun 19
+$255
+14.6% on $1,745 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,745
Premium paid
Break-even
$162.45
+10.25% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.2 / -11.72 / 24.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ANET Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $118 (-20%) | -$1,408 | -$1,555 | -$1,691 | -$1,745 |
| $125 (-15%) | -$1,205 | -$1,396 | -$1,603 | -$1,745 |
| $133 (-10%) | -$937 | -$1,165 | -$1,438 | -$1,745 |
| $140 (-5%) | -$602 | -$854 | -$1,174 | -$1,745 |
| $144 (-2%) | -$368 | -$629 | -$962 | -$1,745 |
| $147 (0%) โ spot | -$200 | -$463 | -$799 | -$1,510 |
| $150 (+2%) | -$22 | -$285 | -$619 | -$1,215 |
| $155 (+5%) | +$262 | +$2 | -$320 | -$773 |
| $162 (+10%) | +$779 | +$533 | +$245 | -$36 |
| $165 (+12%) โ target | +$997 | +$758 | +$487 | +$255 |
| $169 (+15%) | +$1,342 | +$1,117 | +$874 | +$700 |
| $177 (+20%) | +$1,945 | +$1,745 | +$1,548 | +$1,437 |
Uses ANET's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.