Target Price Playground
ANET
$147.35
๐ข
ANET IV: 53.5% โ LOW
(-26.9% vs 30d avg of 73.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $130 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $145 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.45 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ANET hits $130 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$255 (20.5%) on $1,245 risked, vs $-1,735 (-11.8%) for 100 shares on $14,735. Options give 1.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ANET is at $130. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ANET hits $130 by Jun 19
+$255
+20.5% on $1,245 risked
Max Profit
+$13,255
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,245
Premium paid
Break-even
$132.55
-10.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-41.07 / -10.34 / 24.5
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ANET Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $118 (-20%) | +$1,685 | +$1,577 | +$1,480 | +$1,467 |
| $125 (-15%) | +$1,150 | +$999 | +$831 | +$730 |
| $130 (-12%) โ target | +$841 | +$664 | +$451 | +$255 |
| $133 (-10%) | +$682 | +$493 | +$258 | -$7 |
| $140 (-5%) | +$281 | +$68 | -$213 | -$743 |
| $144 (-2%) | +$72 | -$149 | -$443 | -$1,185 |
| $147 (0%) โ spot | -$54 | -$278 | -$575 | -$1,245 |
| $150 (+2%) | -$171 | -$395 | -$690 | -$1,245 |
| $155 (+5%) | -$329 | -$550 | -$834 | -$1,245 |
| $162 (+10%) | -$549 | -$756 | -$1,005 | -$1,245 |
| $169 (+15%) | -$722 | -$908 | -$1,112 | -$1,245 |
| $177 (+20%) | -$857 | -$1,018 | -$1,175 | -$1,245 |
Uses ANET's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.