Target Price Playground
APP
$391.38
๐ข
APP IV: 73.2% โ LOW
(-19.7% vs 30d avg of 91.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $440 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $390 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $54.06 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $425 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $38.22 ยท ฮ 0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APP hits $440 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,916 (120.9%) on $1,584 risked, vs +$4,862 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $39,138. Options give 9.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APP is at $440. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APP hits $440 by Jun 19
+$1,916
+120.9% on $1,584 risked
Max Profit
+$1,916
If the stock โฅ $425 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,584
Net debit
Break-even
$405.84
+3.7% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.97 / -1.64 / -1.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $313 (-20%) | -$991 | -$1,115 | -$1,334 | -$1,584 |
| $333 (-15%) | -$811 | -$920 | -$1,144 | -$1,584 |
| $352 (-10%) | -$615 | -$697 | -$888 | -$1,584 |
| $372 (-5%) | -$411 | -$455 | -$579 | -$1,584 |
| $384 (-2%) | -$286 | -$304 | -$376 | -$1,584 |
| $391 (0%) โ spot | -$203 | -$203 | -$236 | -$1,446 |
| $399 (+2%) | -$120 | -$101 | -$95 | -$663 |
| $411 (+5%) | +$3 | +$49 | +$116 | +$511 |
| $431 (+10%) | +$202 | +$293 | +$454 | +$1,916 |
| $440 (+12%) โ target | +$296 | +$406 | +$608 | +$1,916 |
| $450 (+15%) | +$392 | +$522 | +$762 | +$1,916 |
| $470 (+20%) | +$569 | +$732 | +$1,029 | +$1,916 |
Uses APP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.