Target Price Playground
APP
$391.38
๐ข
APP IV: 73.2% โ LOW
(-19.7% vs 30d avg of 91.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $370 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $390 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $62.4 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $43.86 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APP hits $370 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$2,395 (129.2%) on $1,854 risked, vs $-2,138 (-5.5%) for 100 shares on $39,138. Options give 23.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APP is at $370. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APP hits $370 by Jun 19
+$2,395
+129.2% on $1,854 risked
Max Profit
+$2,349
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,384
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$428.12
+9.39% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
87%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-4.62 / 6.5 / 13.97
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $313 (-20%) | +$269 | +$399 | +$582 | +$569 |
| $333 (-15%) | +$243 | +$395 | +$650 | +$992 |
| $352 (-10%) | +$194 | +$356 | +$650 | +$1,593 |
| $370 (-5%) โ target | +$130 | +$288 | +$586 | +$2,306 |
| $384 (-2%) | +$71 | +$219 | +$497 | +$1,604 |
| $391 (0%) โ spot | +$34 | +$173 | +$432 | +$1,240 |
| $399 (+2%) | -$6 | +$123 | +$359 | +$906 |
| $411 (+5%) | -$70 | +$41 | +$235 | +$459 |
| $431 (+10%) | -$184 | -$107 | +$5 | -$156 |
| $450 (+15%) | -$304 | -$265 | -$239 | -$628 |
| $470 (+20%) | -$427 | -$426 | -$480 | -$982 |
Uses APP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.