Target Price Playground
APP
$391.38
๐ข
APP IV: 73.2% โ LOW
(-19.7% vs 30d avg of 91.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $450 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $390 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $54.06 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $390 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $55.2 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APP hits $450 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-4,926 (-45.1%) on $10,926 risked, vs +$5,862 (15.0%) for 100 shares on $39,138. Options give 3.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APP is at $450. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APP hits $450 by Jun 19
$-4,926
-45.1% on $10,926 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$10,926
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$499.26
+27.56% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.07 / -77.91 / 131.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $313 (-20%) | -$146 | -$1,303 | -$2,533 | -$3,236 |
| $333 (-15%) | -$755 | -$2,138 | -$3,760 | -$5,193 |
| $352 (-10%) | -$1,093 | -$2,659 | -$4,616 | -$7,150 |
| $372 (-5%) | -$1,164 | -$2,861 | -$5,056 | -$9,107 |
| $384 (-2%) | -$1,083 | -$2,832 | -$5,113 | -$10,281 |
| $391 (0%) โ spot | -$979 | -$2,753 | -$5,067 | -$10,788 |
| $399 (+2%) | -$838 | -$2,626 | -$4,954 | -$10,005 |
| $411 (+5%) | -$557 | -$2,352 | -$4,668 | -$8,831 |
| $431 (+10%) | +$82 | -$1,687 | -$3,905 | -$6,874 |
| $450 (+15%) โ target | +$913 | -$792 | -$2,840 | -$4,926 |
| $470 (+20%) | +$1,925 | +$314 | -$1,516 | -$2,960 |
Uses APP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.