Target Price Playground
APPF
$143.34
๐ข
APPF IV: 48.2% โ LOW
(-32.5% vs 30d avg of 71.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $160 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $145 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.07 ยท ฮ 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $155 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.2 ยท ฮ 0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APPF hits $160 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$613 (158.3%) on $387 risked, vs +$1,666 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $14,334. Options give 13.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APPF is at $160. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APPF hits $160 by Jun 19
+$613
+158.3% on $387 risked
Max Profit
+$613
If the stock โฅ $155 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$387
Net debit
Break-even
$148.87
+3.86% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.29 / -0.35 / 0.47
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APPF Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $115 (-20%) | -$293 | -$329 | -$371 | -$387 |
| $122 (-15%) | -$237 | -$278 | -$340 | -$387 |
| $129 (-10%) | -$167 | -$205 | -$276 | -$387 |
| $136 (-5%) | -$87 | -$114 | -$175 | -$387 |
| $140 (-2%) | -$35 | -$54 | -$98 | -$387 |
| $143 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$11 | -$41 | -$387 |
| $146 (+2%) | +$36 | +$32 | +$17 | -$266 |
| $151 (+5%) | +$88 | +$96 | +$107 | +$164 |
| $158 (+10%) | +$173 | +$199 | +$249 | +$613 |
| $160 (+12%) โ target | +$199 | +$231 | +$291 | +$613 |
| $165 (+15%) | +$252 | +$292 | +$369 | +$613 |
| $172 (+20%) | +$321 | +$372 | +$460 | +$613 |
Uses APPF's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.