Target Price Playground
APPF
$143.34
๐ข
APPF IV: 48.2% โ LOW
(-32.5% vs 30d avg of 71.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $160 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $145 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.07 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APPF hits $160 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$293 (24.3%) on $1,207 risked, vs +$1,666 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $14,334. Options give 2.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APPF is at $160. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APPF hits $160 by Jun 19
+$293
+24.3% on $1,207 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,207
Premium paid
Break-even
$157.07
+9.58% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
53.68 / -9.94 / 24.4
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APPF Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $115 (-20%) | -$1,000 | -$1,104 | -$1,186 | -$1,207 |
| $122 (-15%) | -$848 | -$996 | -$1,140 | -$1,207 |
| $129 (-10%) | -$633 | -$822 | -$1,036 | -$1,207 |
| $136 (-5%) | -$351 | -$572 | -$844 | -$1,207 |
| $140 (-2%) | -$149 | -$382 | -$678 | -$1,207 |
| $143 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$239 | -$544 | -$1,207 |
| $146 (+2%) | +$159 | -$83 | -$392 | -$1,086 |
| $151 (+5%) | +$417 | +$174 | -$132 | -$656 |
| $158 (+10%) | +$893 | +$660 | +$379 | +$60 |
| $160 (+12%) โ target | +$1,060 | +$832 | +$563 | +$293 |
| $165 (+15%) | +$1,423 | +$1,208 | +$968 | +$777 |
| $172 (+20%) | +$1,996 | +$1,805 | +$1,612 | +$1,494 |
Uses APPF's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.