Target Price Playground
APXT
$9.97
Forward Projection
If price hits $9 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $10 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.48 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $9 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.13 ยท ฮ -0.18
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APXT hits $9 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$65 (183.1%) on $35 risked, vs $-97 (-9.7%) for 100 shares on $997. Options give 18.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APXT is at $9. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APXT hits $9 by Jun 19
+$65
+183.1% on $35 risked
Max Profit
+$65
If the stock โค $9 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$35
Net debit
Break-even
$9.65
-3.24% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-28.06 / -0.09 / 0.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APXT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | +$55 | +$59 | +$63 | +$65 |
| $8 (-15%) | +$45 | +$50 | +$57 | +$65 |
| $9 (-10%) โ target | +$30 | +$33 | +$39 | +$65 |
| $9 (-5%) | +$15 | +$16 | +$16 | +$18 |
| $10 (-2%) | +$6 | +$5 | +$1 | -$12 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$2 | -$8 | -$32 |
| $10 (+2%) | -$5 | -$9 | -$15 | -$35 |
| $10 (+5%) | -$12 | -$16 | -$24 | -$35 |
| $11 (+10%) | -$21 | -$26 | -$31 | -$35 |
| $11 (+15%) | -$27 | -$31 | -$34 | -$35 |
| $12 (+20%) | -$31 | -$33 | -$35 | -$35 |
Uses APXT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.