Target Price Playground
APXT
$9.97
Forward Projection
If price hits $11 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $9 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.13 ยท ฮ -0.18
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APXT hits $11 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$13 (1.5%) on $-13 credit (max loss $887), vs +$53 (5.3%) for 100 shares on $997. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APXT is at $11. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APXT hits $11 by Jun 19
+$13
+1.5% on $887 max loss
Max Profit
+$13
If the stock โฅ $9 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$887
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$8.87
-11.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
68%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
17.75 / 0.23 / -1.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APXT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | -$93 | -$90 | -$88 | -$89 |
| $8 (-15%) | -$58 | -$52 | -$46 | -$40 |
| $9 (-10%) | -$31 | -$24 | -$14 | +$10 |
| $9 (-5%) | -$12 | -$5 | +$3 | +$13 |
| $10 (-2%) | -$4 | +$2 | +$8 | +$13 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$5 | +$10 | +$13 |
| $10 (+2%) | +$3 | +$8 | +$12 | +$13 |
| $11 (+5%) โ target | +$7 | +$10 | +$13 | +$13 |
| $11 (+10%) | +$10 | +$12 | +$13 | +$13 |
| $11 (+15%) | +$12 | +$13 | +$13 | +$13 |
| $12 (+20%) | +$12 | +$13 | +$13 | +$13 |
Uses APXT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.