Target Price Playground
APXT
$9.97
Forward Projection
If price hits $11 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $9.97 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $11 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.19 ยท ฮ 0.26
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APXT hits $11 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$122 (12.5%) on $978 risked, vs +$103 (10.3%) for 100 shares on $997. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APXT is at $11. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APXT hits $11 by Jun 19
+$122
+12.5% on $978 risked
Max Profit
+$122
If the stock โฅ $11 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$978
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$9.78
-1.92% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
42%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
73.77 / 0.34 / -1.39
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APXT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | -$180 | -$180 | -$180 | -$180 |
| $8 (-15%) | -$132 | -$131 | -$131 | -$131 |
| $9 (-10%) | -$85 | -$82 | -$81 | -$81 |
| $9 (-5%) | -$40 | -$35 | -$32 | -$31 |
| $10 (-2%) | -$15 | -$9 | -$3 | -$1 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$8 | +$15 | +$19 |
| $10 (+2%) | +$14 | +$23 | +$32 | +$39 |
| $10 (+5%) | +$33 | +$44 | +$56 | +$69 |
| $11 (+10%) โ target | +$61 | +$73 | +$87 | +$122 |
| $11 (+15%) | +$79 | +$91 | +$104 | +$122 |
| $12 (+20%) | +$93 | +$103 | +$114 | +$122 |
Uses APXT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.