Target Price Playground
APXT
$9.97
Forward Projection
If price hits $10 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $10 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.56 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $10 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.27 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APXT hits $10 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$31 (107.1%) on $29 risked, vs $-47 (-4.7%) for 100 shares on $997. Options give 22.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APXT is at $10. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APXT hits $10 by Jun 19
+$31
+107.1% on $29 risked
Max Profit
+$30
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$29
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$10.05
+0.75% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.99 / 0.04 / 0.51
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APXT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | +$17 | +$18 | +$18 | +$18 |
| $8 (-15%) | +$16 | +$17 | +$19 | +$18 |
| $9 (-10%) | +$12 | +$15 | +$18 | +$21 |
| $10 (-5%) โ target | +$7 | +$9 | +$13 | +$32 |
| $10 (-2%) | +$3 | +$5 | +$7 | +$14 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$1 | +$3 | +$4 |
| $10 (+2%) | -$2 | -$2 | -$2 | -$5 |
| $10 (+5%) | -$7 | -$7 | -$8 | -$15 |
| $11 (+10%) | -$13 | -$15 | -$18 | -$24 |
| $11 (+15%) | -$18 | -$20 | -$23 | -$27 |
| $12 (+20%) | -$22 | -$24 | -$27 | -$29 |
Uses APXT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.