Target Price Playground
APXT
$9.97
Forward Projection
If price hits $11 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $10 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.54 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APXT hits $11 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$46 (86.5%) on $54 risked, vs +$103 (10.3%) for 100 shares on $997. Options give 8.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APXT is at $11. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APXT hits $11 by Jun 19
+$46
+86.5% on $54 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$54
Premium paid
Break-even
$10.54
+5.68% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
42%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.19 / -0.44 / 1.69
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APXT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | -$52 | -$53 | -$54 | -$54 |
| $8 (-15%) | -$48 | -$51 | -$54 | -$54 |
| $9 (-10%) | -$39 | -$45 | -$51 | -$54 |
| $9 (-5%) | -$24 | -$33 | -$43 | -$54 |
| $10 (-2%) | -$11 | -$21 | -$33 | -$54 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$11 | -$24 | -$54 |
| $10 (+2%) | +$11 | +$0 | -$13 | -$37 |
| $10 (+5%) | +$30 | +$20 | +$8 | -$7 |
| $11 (+10%) โ target | +$70 | +$61 | +$52 | +$46 |
| $11 (+15%) | +$110 | +$103 | +$97 | +$93 |
| $12 (+20%) | +$155 | +$149 | +$145 | +$142 |
Uses APXT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.