Target Price Playground
APXT
$9.97
Forward Projection
If price hits $9 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $10 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.48 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APXT hits $9 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$52 (106.7%) on $48 risked, vs $-97 (-9.7%) for 100 shares on $997. Options give 11.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APXT is at $9. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APXT hits $9 by Jun 19
+$52
+106.7% on $48 risked
Max Profit
+$952
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$48
Premium paid
Break-even
$9.52
-4.55% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.81 / -0.32 / 1.69
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APXT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | +$148 | +$149 | +$151 | +$154 |
| $8 (-15%) | +$103 | +$102 | +$103 | +$105 |
| $9 (-10%) โ target | +$60 | +$56 | +$52 | +$52 |
| $9 (-5%) | +$27 | +$21 | +$13 | +$5 |
| $10 (-2%) | +$10 | +$3 | -$7 | -$25 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$7 | -$18 | -$45 |
| $10 (+2%) | -$8 | -$16 | -$27 | -$48 |
| $10 (+5%) | -$19 | -$26 | -$36 | -$48 |
| $11 (+10%) | -$31 | -$38 | -$44 | -$48 |
| $11 (+15%) | -$39 | -$43 | -$47 | -$48 |
| $12 (+20%) | -$43 | -$46 | -$48 | -$48 |
Uses APXT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.