Target Price Playground
APXT
$9.97
Forward Projection
If price hits $11 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $9.97 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $10 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.27 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APXT hits $11 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$76 (7.4%) on $1,024 risked, vs +$103 (10.3%) for 100 shares on $997. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APXT is at $11. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APXT hits $11 by Jun 19
+$76
+7.4% on $1,024 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$74
Put floors you at $10
Break-even
$10.24
+2.71% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
42%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
69.29 / -0.29 / 1.5
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APXT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | -$77 | -$77 | -$76 | -$74 |
| $8 (-15%) | -$69 | -$72 | -$75 | -$74 |
| $9 (-10%) | -$54 | -$60 | -$67 | -$74 |
| $9 (-5%) | -$31 | -$38 | -$48 | -$74 |
| $10 (-2%) | -$13 | -$21 | -$31 | -$47 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$7 | -$16 | -$27 |
| $10 (+2%) | +$14 | +$8 | -$0 | -$7 |
| $10 (+5%) | +$38 | +$32 | +$26 | +$23 |
| $11 (+10%) โ target | +$83 | +$80 | +$77 | +$76 |
| $11 (+15%) | +$127 | +$124 | +$123 | +$123 |
| $12 (+20%) | +$174 | +$172 | +$172 | +$172 |
Uses APXT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.