Target Price Playground
APXT
$9.97
Forward Projection
If price hits $12 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $10 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.54 ยท ฮ 0.54
LONG PUT ยท $10 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.48 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APXT hits $12 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$48 (47.1%) on $102 risked, vs +$153 (15.3%) for 100 shares on $997. Options give 3.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APXT is at $12. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APXT hits $12 by Jun 19
+$48
+47.1% on $102 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$102
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$8.98
-9.93% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
23%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.37 / -0.76 / 3.39
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APXT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $8 (-20%) | +$96 | +$96 | +$97 | +$100 |
| $8 (-15%) | +$55 | +$51 | +$49 | +$51 |
| $9 (-10%) | +$23 | +$13 | +$3 | +$1 |
| $9 (-5%) | +$4 | -$12 | -$30 | -$49 |
| $10 (-2%) | -$0 | -$18 | -$41 | -$79 |
| $10 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$18 | -$42 | -$99 |
| $10 (+2%) | +$3 | -$16 | -$39 | -$85 |
| $10 (+5%) | +$12 | -$6 | -$28 | -$55 |
| $11 (+10%) | +$36 | +$21 | +$6 | -$5 |
| $12 (+15%) โ target | +$73 | +$62 | +$53 | +$48 |
| $12 (+20%) | +$111 | +$103 | +$97 | +$94 |
Uses APXT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.