Target Price Playground
ASAN
$5.46
๐ข
ASAN IV: 77.6% โ LOW
(-45.8% vs 30d avg of 143.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $7 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.83 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.82 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ASAN hits $7 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-65 (-39.2%) on $165 risked, vs +$104 (19.0%) for 100 shares on $546. Options give 2.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ASAN is at $7. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ASAN hits $7 by Jun 19
$-65
-39.2% on $165 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$165
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$3.85
-29.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
15.27 / -1.2 / 1.83
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ASAN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | +$7 | -$13 | -$36 | -$52 |
| $5 (-15%) | +$1 | -$23 | -$51 | -$79 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$3 | -$29 | -$62 | -$106 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$3 | -$31 | -$67 | -$134 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$2 | -$31 | -$68 | -$150 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$30 | -$68 | -$161 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$1 | -$28 | -$67 | -$158 |
| $6 (+5%) | +$5 | -$25 | -$64 | -$142 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$13 | -$17 | -$55 | -$114 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$24 | -$6 | -$42 | -$87 |
| $7 (+19%) โ target | +$34 | +$5 | -$29 | -$65 |
Uses ASAN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.