Target Price Playground
ASAN
$5.46
๐ข
ASAN IV: 77.6% โ LOW
(-45.8% vs 30d avg of 143.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.83 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ASAN hits $6 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-33 (-39.4%) on $83 risked, vs +$54 (9.9%) for 100 shares on $546. Options give 4.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ASAN is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ASAN hits $6 by Jun 19
$-33
-39.4% on $83 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$83
Premium paid
Break-even
$6.33
+15.85% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.64 / -0.64 / 0.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ASAN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$51 | -$62 | -$74 | -$83 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$41 | -$53 | -$68 | -$83 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$29 | -$43 | -$60 | -$83 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$15 | -$30 | -$49 | -$83 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$7 | -$22 | -$41 | -$83 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$16 | -$36 | -$83 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$6 | -$10 | -$30 | -$76 |
| $6 (+5%) | +$16 | +$0 | -$20 | -$60 |
| $6 (+10%) โ target | +$33 | +$18 | -$2 | -$33 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$53 | +$37 | +$18 | -$5 |
| $7 (+20%) | +$72 | +$57 | +$40 | +$22 |
Uses ASAN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.