Target Price Playground
ASX
$24.84
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $25 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.45 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $24 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.62 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ASX hits $24 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$87 (104.4%) on $83 risked, vs $-134 (-5.4%) for 100 shares on $2,484. Options give 19.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ASX is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ASX hits $24 by Jun 19
+$87
+104.4% on $83 risked
Max Profit
+$84
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$83
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$24.90
+0.26% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-16.8 / 0.08 / 1.39
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ASX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20 (-20%) | +$55 | +$58 | +$59 | +$59 |
| $21 (-15%) | +$49 | +$54 | +$60 | +$60 |
| $22 (-10%) | +$37 | +$44 | +$55 | +$67 |
| $24 (-5%) โ target | +$22 | +$28 | +$38 | +$87 |
| $24 (-2%) | +$8 | +$12 | +$19 | +$30 |
| $25 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$2 | +$5 | +$3 |
| $25 (+2%) | -$8 | -$8 | -$8 | -$19 |
| $26 (+5%) | -$20 | -$22 | -$27 | -$44 |
| $27 (+10%) | -$39 | -$44 | -$52 | -$68 |
| $29 (+15%) | -$54 | -$60 | -$68 | -$78 |
| $30 (+20%) | -$65 | -$70 | -$76 | -$82 |
Uses ASX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.