Target Price Playground
ASX
$24.84
Forward Projection
If price hits $22 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $25 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.25 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ASX hits $22 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$175 (140.2%) on $125 risked, vs $-284 (-11.4%) for 100 shares on $2,484. Options give 12.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ASX is at $22. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ASX hits $22 by Jun 19
+$175
+140.2% on $125 risked
Max Profit
+$2,375
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$125
Premium paid
Break-even
$23.75
-4.38% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-46.87 / -0.79 / 4.23
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ASX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20 (-20%) | +$372 | +$376 | +$381 | +$388 |
| $21 (-15%) | +$258 | +$256 | +$258 | +$264 |
| $22 (-11%) โ target | +$183 | +$176 | +$171 | +$175 |
| $22 (-10%) | +$155 | +$146 | +$138 | +$139 |
| $24 (-5%) | +$68 | +$52 | +$33 | +$15 |
| $24 (-2%) | +$25 | +$7 | -$18 | -$59 |
| $25 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$20 | -$46 | -$109 |
| $25 (+2%) | -$22 | -$42 | -$68 | -$125 |
| $26 (+5%) | -$49 | -$68 | -$93 | -$125 |
| $27 (+10%) | -$82 | -$97 | -$114 | -$125 |
| $29 (+15%) | -$102 | -$113 | -$122 | -$125 |
| $30 (+20%) | -$113 | -$120 | -$124 | -$125 |
Uses ASX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.