Target Price Playground
ATEN
$24.00
๐ข
ATEN IV: 38.5% โ LOW
(-49.0% vs 30d avg of 75.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $27 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $24 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.77 ยท ฮ 0.55
SHORT CALL ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.98 ยท ฮ 0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ATEN hits $27 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$122 (156.1%) on $78 risked, vs +$300 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $2,400. Options give 12.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ATEN is at $27. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ATEN hits $27 by Jun 19
+$122
+156.1% on $78 risked
Max Profit
+$122
If the stock โฅ $26 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$78
Net debit
Break-even
$24.78
+3.25% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
47%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
18.03 / -0.1 / 0.17
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ATEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $19 (-20%) | -$67 | -$73 | -$78 | -$79 |
| $20 (-15%) | -$56 | -$64 | -$74 | -$79 |
| $22 (-10%) | -$41 | -$49 | -$63 | -$79 |
| $23 (-5%) | -$22 | -$29 | -$42 | -$79 |
| $24 (-2%) | -$10 | -$14 | -$24 | -$79 |
| $24 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$4 | -$11 | -$79 |
| $24 (+2%) | +$8 | +$7 | +$3 | -$31 |
| $25 (+5%) | +$21 | +$22 | +$25 | +$41 |
| $26 (+10%) | +$41 | +$47 | +$59 | +$121 |
| $27 (+12%) โ target | +$51 | +$59 | +$73 | +$121 |
| $28 (+15%) | +$60 | +$69 | +$85 | +$121 |
| $29 (+20%) | +$75 | +$86 | +$102 | +$121 |
Uses ATEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.