Target Price Playground
ATEN
$24.00
๐ข
ATEN IV: 38.5% โ LOW
(-49.0% vs 30d avg of 75.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $23 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $24 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.84 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $23 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.1 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ATEN hits $23 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$84 (114.0%) on $74 risked, vs $-100 (-4.2%) for 100 shares on $2,400. Options give 27.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ATEN is at $23. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ATEN hits $23 by Jun 19
+$84
+114.0% on $74 risked
Max Profit
+$81
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$73
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$24.73
+3.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.36 / 0.16 / 1.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ATEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $19 (-20%) | +$22 | +$24 | +$25 | +$20 |
| $20 (-15%) | +$20 | +$25 | +$30 | +$27 |
| $22 (-10%) | +$16 | +$22 | +$32 | +$43 |
| $23 (-4%) โ target | +$8 | +$13 | +$24 | +$84 |
| $24 (-2%) | +$4 | +$9 | +$19 | +$54 |
| $24 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$4 | +$12 | +$30 |
| $24 (+2%) | -$4 | -$1 | +$5 | +$9 |
| $25 (+5%) | -$11 | -$9 | -$7 | -$16 |
| $26 (+10%) | -$22 | -$23 | -$26 | -$44 |
| $28 (+15%) | -$32 | -$35 | -$42 | -$60 |
| $29 (+20%) | -$42 | -$46 | -$54 | -$68 |
Uses ATEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.