Target Price Playground
ATEN
$24.00
๐ข
ATEN IV: 38.5% โ LOW
(-49.0% vs 30d avg of 75.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $27 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $24 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.77 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ATEN hits $27 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$123 (69.9%) on $177 risked, vs +$300 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $2,400. Options give 5.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ATEN is at $27. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ATEN hits $27 by Jun 19
+$123
+69.9% on $177 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$177
Premium paid
Break-even
$25.77
+7.36% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
47%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.36 / -1.38 / 4.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ATEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $19 (-20%) | -$157 | -$168 | -$176 | -$177 |
| $20 (-15%) | -$137 | -$155 | -$171 | -$177 |
| $22 (-10%) | -$105 | -$130 | -$158 | -$177 |
| $23 (-5%) | -$60 | -$90 | -$128 | -$177 |
| $24 (-2%) | -$26 | -$58 | -$99 | -$177 |
| $24 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$34 | -$76 | -$177 |
| $24 (+2%) | +$27 | -$6 | -$48 | -$129 |
| $25 (+5%) | +$73 | +$40 | -$1 | -$57 |
| $26 (+10%) | +$157 | +$127 | +$93 | +$63 |
| $27 (+12%) โ target | +$204 | +$175 | +$145 | +$123 |
| $28 (+15%) | +$252 | +$226 | +$200 | +$183 |
| $29 (+20%) | +$355 | +$333 | +$314 | +$303 |
Uses ATEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.