Target Price Playground
ATEN
$24.00
๐ข
ATEN IV: 38.5% โ LOW
(-49.0% vs 30d avg of 75.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $21 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $24 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.57 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ATEN hits $21 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$143 (91.3%) on $157 risked, vs $-300 (-12.5%) for 100 shares on $2,400. Options give 7.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ATEN is at $21. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ATEN hits $21 by Jun 19
+$143
+91.3% on $157 risked
Max Profit
+$2,243
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$157
Premium paid
Break-even
$22.43
-6.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
47%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.64 / -1.09 / 4.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ATEN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $19 (-20%) | +$323 | +$318 | +$317 | +$323 |
| $20 (-15%) | +$223 | +$212 | +$202 | +$203 |
| $21 (-12%) โ target | +$177 | +$162 | +$147 | +$143 |
| $22 (-10%) | +$135 | +$116 | +$96 | +$83 |
| $23 (-5%) | +$60 | +$36 | +$6 | -$37 |
| $24 (-2%) | +$22 | -$4 | -$38 | -$109 |
| $24 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$27 | -$62 | -$157 |
| $24 (+2%) | -$21 | -$47 | -$83 | -$157 |
| $25 (+5%) | -$47 | -$74 | -$108 | -$157 |
| $26 (+10%) | -$82 | -$106 | -$134 | -$157 |
| $28 (+15%) | -$108 | -$127 | -$147 | -$157 |
| $29 (+20%) | -$125 | -$140 | -$153 | -$157 |
Uses ATEN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.