Target Price Playground
AVGO
$371.55
๐ข
AVGO IV: 48.3% โ LOW
(-26.7% vs 30d avg of 65.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $415 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $33.95 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $400 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.0 ยท ฮ 0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AVGO hits $415 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,705 (131.7%) on $1,295 risked, vs +$4,345 (11.7%) for 100 shares on $37,155. Options give 11.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AVGO is at $415. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AVGO hits $415 by Jun 19
+$1,705
+131.7% on $1,295 risked
Max Profit
+$1,705
If the stock โฅ $400 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,295
Net debit
Break-even
$382.95
+3.07% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.74 / -1.31 / -3.19
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AVGO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $297 (-20%) | -$1,004 | -$1,114 | -$1,243 | -$1,295 |
| $316 (-15%) | -$827 | -$950 | -$1,139 | -$1,295 |
| $334 (-10%) | -$606 | -$719 | -$931 | -$1,295 |
| $353 (-5%) | -$352 | -$430 | -$601 | -$1,295 |
| $364 (-2%) | -$190 | -$238 | -$354 | -$1,295 |
| $372 (0%) โ spot | -$81 | -$106 | -$176 | -$1,140 |
| $379 (+2%) | +$29 | +$28 | +$8 | -$397 |
| $390 (+5%) | +$192 | +$227 | +$285 | +$718 |
| $409 (+10%) | +$452 | +$542 | +$714 | +$1,705 |
| $415 (+12%) โ target | +$536 | +$641 | +$843 | +$1,705 |
| $427 (+15%) | +$690 | +$821 | +$1,063 | +$1,705 |
| $446 (+20%) | +$898 | +$1,054 | +$1,318 | +$1,705 |
Uses AVGO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.