Target Price Playground
AVGO
$371.55
๐ข
AVGO IV: 48.3% โ LOW
(-26.7% vs 30d avg of 65.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $325 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $29.85 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $340 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.5 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AVGO hits $325 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$1,765 (142.9%) on $1,235 risked, vs $-4,655 (-12.5%) for 100 shares on $37,155. Options give 11.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AVGO is at $325. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AVGO hits $325 by Jun 19
+$1,765
+142.9% on $1,235 risked
Max Profit
+$1,765
If the stock โค $340 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,235
Net debit
Break-even
$357.65
-3.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
55%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-14.5 / -1.65 / 10.42
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AVGO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $297 (-20%) | +$1,198 | +$1,328 | +$1,539 | +$1,765 |
| $316 (-15%) | +$943 | +$1,051 | +$1,260 | +$1,765 |
| $325 (-13%) โ target | +$804 | +$891 | +$1,071 | +$1,765 |
| $334 (-10%) | +$657 | +$716 | +$848 | +$1,765 |
| $353 (-5%) | +$360 | +$357 | +$357 | +$468 |
| $364 (-2%) | +$185 | +$143 | +$61 | -$647 |
| $372 (0%) โ spot | +$72 | +$6 | -$126 | -$1,235 |
| $379 (+2%) | -$38 | -$125 | -$299 | -$1,235 |
| $390 (+5%) | -$193 | -$308 | -$530 | -$1,235 |
| $409 (+10%) | -$425 | -$570 | -$824 | -$1,235 |
| $427 (+15%) | -$619 | -$775 | -$1,014 | -$1,235 |
| $446 (+20%) | -$776 | -$928 | -$1,125 | -$1,235 |
Uses AVGO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.