Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
AVGO
$371.55
๐ŸŸข
AVGO IV: 48.3% โ€” LOW (-26.7% vs 30d avg of 65.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $355 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $370 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $33.95 ยท ฮ” -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $355 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.39 ยท ฮ” -0.36
P&L at Expiry Now $372 Target $355 $260 $372 $483
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If AVGO hits $355 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,461 (116.3%) on $1,256 risked, vs $-1,655 (-4.5%) for 100 shares on $37,155. Options give 25.8ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AVGO is at $355. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if AVGO hits $355 by Jun 19
+$1,461
+116.3% on $1,256 risked
Max Profit
+$1,454
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$1,207
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$387.01
+4.16% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
83%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-7.56 / 1.76 / 14.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

AVGO Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$297 (-20%) +$236 +$294 +$337 +$222
$316 (-15%) +$219 +$308 +$428 +$405
$334 (-10%) +$169 +$276 +$457 +$768
$355 (-4%) โ† target +$74 +$178 +$371 +$1,457
$364 (-2%) +$21 +$116 +$292 +$958
$372 (0%) โ† spot -$27 +$57 +$211 +$601
$379 (+2%) -$78 -$6 +$119 +$288
$390 (+5%) -$159 -$109 -$34 -$106
$409 (+10%) -$301 -$290 -$302 -$582
$427 (+15%) -$443 -$470 -$552 -$881
$446 (+20%) -$579 -$636 -$762 -$1,057
Uses AVGO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.