Target Price Playground
AVGO
$371.55
๐ข
AVGO IV: 48.3% โ LOW
(-26.7% vs 30d avg of 65.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $415 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $33.95 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AVGO hits $415 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,105 (32.5%) on $3,395 risked, vs +$4,345 (11.7%) for 100 shares on $37,155. Options give 2.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AVGO is at $415. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AVGO hits $415 by Jun 19
+$1,105
+32.5% on $3,395 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,395
Premium paid
Break-even
$403.95
+8.72% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.17 / -26.05 / 62.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AVGO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $297 (-20%) | -$2,830 | -$3,106 | -$3,332 | -$3,395 |
| $316 (-15%) | -$2,411 | -$2,800 | -$3,192 | -$3,395 |
| $334 (-10%) | -$1,820 | -$2,312 | -$2,880 | -$3,395 |
| $353 (-5%) | -$1,045 | -$1,610 | -$2,317 | -$3,395 |
| $364 (-2%) | -$490 | -$1,082 | -$1,835 | -$3,395 |
| $372 (0%) โ spot | -$84 | -$686 | -$1,453 | -$3,240 |
| $379 (+2%) | +$349 | -$255 | -$1,023 | -$2,497 |
| $390 (+5%) | +$1,050 | +$452 | -$293 | -$1,382 |
| $409 (+10%) | +$2,340 | +$1,776 | +$1,118 | +$476 |
| $415 (+12%) โ target | +$2,808 | +$2,262 | +$1,640 | +$1,105 |
| $427 (+15%) | +$3,763 | +$3,254 | +$2,712 | +$2,333 |
| $446 (+20%) | +$5,295 | +$4,852 | +$4,427 | +$4,191 |
Uses AVGO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.