Target Price Playground
AVGO
$371.55
๐ข
AVGO IV: 48.3% โ LOW
(-26.7% vs 30d avg of 65.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $410 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $371.55 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $355 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.39 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AVGO hits $410 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$1,706 (4.3%) on $39,294 risked, vs +$3,845 (10.3%) for 100 shares on $37,155. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AVGO is at $410. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AVGO hits $410 by Jun 19
+$1,706
+4.3% on $39,294 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$3,794
Put floors you at $355
Break-even
$392.94
+5.76% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.13 / -19.76 / 59.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AVGO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $297 (-20%) | -$3,289 | -$3,532 | -$3,757 | -$3,794 |
| $316 (-15%) | -$2,752 | -$3,103 | -$3,506 | -$3,794 |
| $334 (-10%) | -$2,025 | -$2,458 | -$3,015 | -$3,794 |
| $353 (-5%) | -$1,105 | -$1,583 | -$2,218 | -$3,794 |
| $364 (-2%) | -$463 | -$948 | -$1,588 | -$2,882 |
| $372 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$481 | -$1,108 | -$2,139 |
| $379 (+2%) | +$489 | +$17 | -$585 | -$1,396 |
| $390 (+5%) | +$1,270 | +$820 | +$272 | -$281 |
| $410 (+10%) โ target | +$2,785 | +$2,393 | +$1,968 | +$1,706 |
| $427 (+15%) | +$4,209 | +$3,878 | +$3,563 | +$3,434 |
| $446 (+20%) | +$5,827 | +$5,562 | +$5,348 | +$5,292 |
Uses AVGO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.