Target Price Playground
AVGO
$371.55
๐ข
AVGO IV: 48.3% โ LOW
(-26.7% vs 30d avg of 65.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $425 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $33.95 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $29.85 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AVGO hits $425 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-880 (-13.8%) on $6,380 risked, vs +$5,345 (14.4%) for 100 shares on $37,155. Options give 1.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AVGO is at $425. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AVGO hits $425 by Jun 19
$-880
-13.8% on $6,380 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$6,380
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$433.80
+16.75% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.99 / -48.58 / 124.4
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AVGO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $297 (-20%) | +$1,723 | +$1,269 | +$918 | +$896 |
| $316 (-15%) | +$702 | +$23 | -$660 | -$962 |
| $334 (-10%) | +$26 | -$858 | -$1,895 | -$2,820 |
| $353 (-5%) | -$281 | -$1,312 | -$2,625 | -$4,677 |
| $364 (-2%) | -$287 | -$1,371 | -$2,778 | -$5,792 |
| $372 (0%) โ spot | -$218 | -$1,321 | -$2,756 | -$6,225 |
| $379 (+2%) | -$94 | -$1,203 | -$2,639 | -$5,482 |
| $390 (+5%) | +$193 | -$904 | -$2,294 | -$4,367 |
| $409 (+10%) | +$915 | -$113 | -$1,331 | -$2,509 |
| $425 (+14%) โ target | +$1,769 | +$837 | -$178 | -$880 |
| $446 (+20%) | +$3,109 | +$2,323 | +$1,573 | +$1,206 |
Uses AVGO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.