Target Price Playground
AVGO
$371.55
๐ข
AVGO IV: 48.3% โ LOW
(-26.7% vs 30d avg of 65.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $400 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $371.55 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $400 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.0 ยท ฮ 0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AVGO hits $400 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$4,945 (14.1%) on $35,055 risked, vs +$2,845 (7.7%) for 100 shares on $37,155. Options give 1.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AVGO is at $400. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AVGO hits $400 by Jun 19
+$4,945
+14.1% on $35,055 risked
Max Profit
+$4,945
If the stock โฅ $400 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$35,055
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$350.55
-5.65% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.57 / 24.74 / -65.37
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AVGO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $297 (-20%) | -$5,605 | -$5,439 | -$5,342 | -$5,331 |
| $316 (-15%) | -$3,989 | -$3,723 | -$3,520 | -$3,473 |
| $334 (-10%) | -$2,501 | -$2,122 | -$1,765 | -$1,615 |
| $353 (-5%) | -$1,165 | -$678 | -$142 | +$242 |
| $364 (-2%) | -$443 | +$101 | +$738 | +$1,357 |
| $372 (0%) โ spot | +$4 | +$580 | +$1,278 | +$2,100 |
| $379 (+2%) | +$423 | +$1,026 | +$1,774 | +$2,843 |
| $390 (+5%) | +$1,000 | +$1,633 | +$2,436 | +$3,958 |
| $400 (+8%) โ target | +$1,460 | +$2,109 | +$2,936 | +$4,945 |
| $409 (+10%) | +$1,828 | +$2,481 | +$3,312 | +$4,945 |
| $427 (+15%) | +$2,500 | +$3,140 | +$3,925 | +$4,945 |
| $446 (+20%) | +$3,034 | +$3,633 | +$4,322 | +$4,945 |
Uses AVGO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.