Target Price Playground
BB
$3.84
๐ข
BB IV: 54.1% โ LOW
(-50.1% vs 30d avg of 108.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $4 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $4 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.15 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BB hits $4 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$15 (4.5%) on $-15 credit (max loss $335), vs +$16 (4.2%) for 100 shares on $384. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BB is at $4. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BB hits $4 by Jun 19
+$15
+4.5% on $335 max loss
Max Profit
+$15
If the stock โฅ $4 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$335
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$3.35
-12.76% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
28.57 / 0.18 / -0.54
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3 (-20%) | -$38 | -$34 | -$30 | -$28 |
| $3 (-15%) | -$26 | -$22 | -$16 | -$9 |
| $3 (-10%) | -$16 | -$11 | -$4 | +$11 |
| $4 (-5%) | -$8 | -$3 | +$4 | +$15 |
| $4 (-2%) | -$4 | +$1 | +$7 | +$15 |
| $4 (0%) โ spot | -$2 | +$3 | +$9 | +$15 |
| $4 (+2%) | +$1 | +$5 | +$10 | +$15 |
| $4 (+4%) โ target | +$2 | +$7 | +$12 | +$15 |
| $4 (+10%) | +$7 | +$10 | +$14 | +$15 |
| $4 (+15%) | +$9 | +$12 | +$14 | +$15 |
| $5 (+20%) | +$11 | +$13 | +$15 | +$15 |
Uses BB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.