Target Price Playground
BB
$3.84
๐ข
BB IV: 54.1% โ LOW
(-50.1% vs 30d avg of 108.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $4 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $3.84 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $4 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.28 ยท ฮ 0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If BB hits $4 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$44 (12.4%) on $356 risked, vs +$16 (4.2%) for 100 shares on $384. Options give 3.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BB is at $4. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if BB hits $4 by Jun 19
+$44
+12.4% on $356 risked
Max Profit
+$44
If the stock โฅ $4 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$356
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$3.56
-7.29% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
53.18 / 0.24 / -0.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| BB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3 (-20%) | -$53 | -$51 | -$49 | -$49 |
| $3 (-15%) | -$38 | -$34 | -$31 | -$30 |
| $3 (-10%) | -$23 | -$18 | -$13 | -$10 |
| $4 (-5%) | -$11 | -$5 | +$2 | +$9 |
| $4 (-2%) | -$4 | +$2 | +$10 | +$20 |
| $4 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$7 | +$15 | +$28 |
| $4 (+2%) | +$4 | +$11 | +$19 | +$36 |
| $4 (+4%) โ target | +$8 | +$15 | +$23 | +$44 |
| $4 (+10%) | +$16 | +$23 | +$32 | +$44 |
| $4 (+15%) | +$23 | +$29 | +$37 | +$44 |
| $5 (+20%) | +$27 | +$33 | +$39 | +$44 |
Uses BB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.